Well, amidst the failed French and Dutch votes on the Euroconstitution, and the disastrous budget talks at the recent EU summit (mostly thanks to the British this time), I am not sure the EU will be able to withstand its EU-ness much longer.
Personally, I think now would be a particularly disastrous time for the EU to fall apart, but perhaps, in the end, it really doesn't matter.  The EU has to get its shit together a lot better than it has to really BE something.
I love the EU, they are choc-full of humanitarian, human rights loving pacifists.  But they can't make a decision for anything when they all come together.
 
 
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